World Perspectives

Market Commentary: CBOT Rises as Crop Tours Start and Weather Forecasts Shift

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. weather is getting more attention this week as conditions vary greatly across the western, central, and eastern corn belts, with the different regions battling dryness and too much rain simultaneously. The ProFarmer Crop Tour began today in Indiana and Nebrask...

Today’s Top insights
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Favorable U.S. weather and pre-WASDE positioning last week overrode the Black Sea export and allowed bearish sentiments to dominate the CBOT for the second straight week. Managed money traders sold 63,000 contracts across the ag markets, reducing their all-ags net long 12.5 percent in the proce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.895/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.7475/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $12.16/bushel, up $0.235 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $318.7/short ton, up $2.4 from yeste...

farm-inputs

Fertilizer’s Bullish Outlook for 2027

Unlike the 2022 fertilizer shock, today’s disruption is rooted less in rerouted trade flows and more in damaged production capacity, raw material constraints and uncertain recovery timelines. That makes this a longer-duration risk for U.S. agricultural producers and retailers who must sec...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Favorable U.S. weather and pre-WASDE positioning last week overrode the Black Sea export and allowed bearish sentiments to dominate the CBOT for the second straight week. Managed money traders sold 63,000 contracts across the ag markets, reducing their all-ags net long 12.5 percent in the proce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.895/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.7475/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $12.16/bushel, up $0.235 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $318.7/short ton, up $2.4 from yeste...

farm-inputs

Fertilizer’s Bullish Outlook for 2027

Unlike the 2022 fertilizer shock, today’s disruption is rooted less in rerouted trade flows and more in damaged production capacity, raw material constraints and uncertain recovery timelines. That makes this a longer-duration risk for U.S. agricultural producers and retailers who must sec...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 17 August)

Developer's Note:  Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where obs...

Argentina’s Record Corn Crop Drives Export Growth

Key Takeaways: Argentina is on pace for a record corn crop and record exports in the current marketing year, with abundant supplies likely to keep the country highly competitive in global export markets. Argentina’s record exportable surplus is allowing it to offer highly competitive pri...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 17 August)

Developer's Note:  Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where obs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Argentina Argentina’s corn harvest progress has fallen further behind the normal pace, with the latest estimate showing more than 15 percentage points of delay versus previous years. Excessive grain moisture and poor road conditions continue to limit field access and slow harvest act...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.8325/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.7475/bushel, up $0.22 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.925/bushel, up $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $316.3/short ton, up $2.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Russia Resists Black Sea Truce, Cattle Processing Consolidating Further

What You Need to Know Today: Russia rejected calls for a ceasefire in the Black Sea, including a proposal to halt attacks on civilian shipping that could help restore grain flows from Ukrainian ports. Tyson Foods announced plans to permanently close its Joslin, Illinois, beef processing facili...

livestock

Beef Capacity Disappearing

The big news in the cattle markets yesterday was Tyson Foods’ move to close two more beef plants. One of them, the Joslin, Illinois, plant was shuttered immediately after the announcement. The other, in Eagle Mountain, Utah, is a case-ready plant that does not slaughter cattle. Tyson also...

livestock energy

Inflation: Mixed Bag with CPI on Target and PPI Down and Iran War Hovering

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday. In July, the CPI rose 0.1 percent, seasonally adjusted, and rose 3.4 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted. The index for all items less food and energy, or the “core” infla...

Agricultural Precision Technology: A Look Back and Forward

We have described the long-term investment climate in crop and livestock production, using data primarily from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The data provided background on the current investment climate and outlook for agricultural capital formation. Our conclusion was that investment...

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