World Perspectives

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

Today’s Top insights

Steel Steals; Colonialism versus Slavery; India’s Farm Policy; Immigration and Inflation

Steel Steals from Farmers If the Trump White House accepts the advice of the Section 232 investigation by the Ross Commerce Department and raises tariffs on steel imports, it could be U.S. farmers who are hurt. That is the calculation of former U.S. ITC commissioner Daniel Pearson. He notes tha...

Undermining 232 Rationale; Trump View Vindicated; MAAlicious

Undermining 232 Rationale The U.S. Commerce Department announced the results of its Section 232 investigation into imports of aluminum and steel. It was found that these imports are undermining national security and should be subject to both tariffs and quotas. The U.S. can assert a national se...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

Steel Steals; Colonialism versus Slavery; India’s Farm Policy; Immigration and Inflation

Steel Steals from Farmers If the Trump White House accepts the advice of the Section 232 investigation by the Ross Commerce Department and raises tariffs on steel imports, it could be U.S. farmers who are hurt. That is the calculation of former U.S. ITC commissioner Daniel Pearson. He notes tha...

Undermining 232 Rationale; Trump View Vindicated; MAAlicious

Undermining 232 Rationale The U.S. Commerce Department announced the results of its Section 232 investigation into imports of aluminum and steel. It was found that these imports are undermining national security and should be subject to both tariffs and quotas. The U.S. can assert a national se...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

Heitkamp versus Cramer: It’s On!

A little “water cooler” office conversation (albeit conducted electronically) at WPI this week centered on handicapping the North Dakota Senate race now that at-large Republican Representative Kevin Cramer is apparently is about to throw his hat in the ring against incumbent Democra...

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firm as it gained about $4 in one week. Domestic prices in Russia are steady to slightly higher, and the ruble was higher with the recovery of the crude oil market. The main reason that Russian wheat continues to rally is that there is no longer any signifi...

Heitkamp versus Cramer: It’s On!

A little “water cooler” office conversation (albeit conducted electronically) at WPI this week centered on handicapping the North Dakota Senate race now that at-large Republican Representative Kevin Cramer is apparently is about to throw his hat in the ring against incumbent Democra...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Firm; Export Duty Could Be Removed Sugar prices continue to firm following the imposition of an export duty and stock limits on sugar mills. According to National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) data, the bottom spot price occurred on 5 February 2018 with prices rising 8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

The annual USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum will take place next week (22-23 February) in Washington, DC. USDA will issue preliminary unofficial estimates of the U.S. 2018 corn, soybean and wheat crops as part of the 10-year projections. It had released preliminary baselines in November 2017, an...

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