World Perspectives
livestock

2025 Hog Pork Outlook Positive for Producers and Packers

Anyone following the hog and pork markets recently has seen the volatility that preceded the recent surge to new contract highs, and the lack of consensus in the industry’s outlook. Earlier this week, the USDA issued a supportive outlook for the hog and pork markets in 2025, which helped support markets further. Amid this backdrop, WPI offers our outlook for the 2025 hog and pork markets. Briefly, our models anticipate strong pork demand in Q1 and Q2 to offset larger production and create a price-supportive environment. In LH 2025, pork demand will look similar to 2024 levels, but stronger exports and a more bearish production outlook (compared to USDA’s latest numbers) will keep prices high.  The details of the hog market&...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Calm, Confident, But Correct?

The trading before a major WSDE report always entails differing vibes. It is more volatile when there is wide variance in expectations, and more subdued when the mood is more sublime. This might count as the latter except where it wasn’t.   The volume trading corn, wheat and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.215/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.335/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.7/short ton, up $1.9 from...

Livestock Roundup: Inflation Is Up

The CPI released this morning showed that August prices increased 0.4 percent and 2.9 percent over the last 12 months. For food at home, the index rose to 0.6 percent in August and for 0.3 percent for food away from home. The August data compares to a drop of -0.1 percent in July and 2.7 percen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Calm, Confident, But Correct?

The trading before a major WSDE report always entails differing vibes. It is more volatile when there is wide variance in expectations, and more subdued when the mood is more sublime. This might count as the latter except where it wasn’t.   The volume trading corn, wheat and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.215/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.335/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.7/short ton, up $1.9 from...

Livestock Roundup: Inflation Is Up

The CPI released this morning showed that August prices increased 0.4 percent and 2.9 percent over the last 12 months. For food at home, the index rose to 0.6 percent in August and for 0.3 percent for food away from home. The August data compares to a drop of -0.1 percent in July and 2.7 percen...

livestock

China’s Beef Outlook Amid a Shrinking Middle Class

Recently, the USDA FAS lowered its forecast for China’s 2025 beef consumption based on higher prices and the Middle Kingdom’s slowing economy. The USDA forecast consumption at 11.17 MMT, down 3 percent from 2024 and the first annual decline since 2017.  The motivation behind th...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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