World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Just Following Fundamentals

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed, with the major feature that of higher soyoil which in turn is supporting the bean market.  Corn follows stronger beans.  The soyoil futures market is piggy-backing off of sharply higher palm oil prices.  Beans are gaining upside traction from chart based positive technical activity and higher soyoil.  The oilshare trade is resurrected.  Buy wheat/sell corn appears to be also having an adjustment.  Buy beans/sell corn also is a fan-favorite, as China appears to be more active in the market and making inquiries.   Each market is responding to its own fundamentals.  For beans, it is China business, perhaps for the PNW.   China has imported 83 mmt of beans...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.265/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.5/short ton, up $0 from ye...

Identifying Mispricing Opportunities in Ag Futures

In many ways, human nature is fascinated with the future – predicting what will and what could be and formulating plans accordingly. This is one factor that makes commodity futures markets inherently intriguing – their role in foretelling the future. As WPI readers have likely exper...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: July WASDE Beef Forecast Update

Per USDA’s annual Cattle Inventory report, the total number of cattle and calves in the U.S. as of 1 January was at its lowest point in more than 70 years. Moreover, this was the sixth consecutive year of smaller cattle inventory since 2019. There was a reduction at virtually every level...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.265/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.5/short ton, up $0 from ye...

Identifying Mispricing Opportunities in Ag Futures

In many ways, human nature is fascinated with the future – predicting what will and what could be and formulating plans accordingly. This is one factor that makes commodity futures markets inherently intriguing – their role in foretelling the future. As WPI readers have likely exper...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: July WASDE Beef Forecast Update

Per USDA’s annual Cattle Inventory report, the total number of cattle and calves in the U.S. as of 1 January was at its lowest point in more than 70 years. Moreover, this was the sixth consecutive year of smaller cattle inventory since 2019. There was a reduction at virtually every level...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Three-Factor Rally for Soy Complex; Corn Extends Gains

Overnight trade saw short covering and corrective trade in corn, soybeans, and wheat but only the former two markets were able to hold their gains. Soybeans saw a bullish day from the confluence of three factors – the NOPA crush report, fresh “flash” export sales, and Presiden...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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