World Perspectives
feed-grains

AM Outlook - Macro Pressures

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning, lower for everything but soyoil.  Soyoil futures followed a strong performance by palm, which jumped to new contract highs, and firmer crude oil which trades closer to the $80/barrel mark.  Oilshare is soaring, as Egypt comes to tender for some as well.   Beans made new lows in the night session but are recovering slowly following the palm.  Grains remain in congestion mode.  China markets are closed for holiday.  The October USDA will be important in that yields will become more exact.  In front of that report come the guesses.  StoneX raised its corn yield to 176.7 bpa from 177.5 bpa prev. report, with production at 15.022 bln bu from 14.998 bln bu...

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Does Bias in CONAB’s Forecasts Imply Even Bigger Crops?

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President Trump’s tweet about possibly restricting used cooking oil imports from China and more yield concerns for Midwest corn crops created mixed trade at the CBOT Wednesday. Soyoil, corn, and soymeal all pushed higher in a combination of technical and fundamentally-driven trade with co...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Quick Hits – Feeder Cattle, Chicken Nuggets, China Hogs, Turkey and U.S. Brazil Trade Talks

Feeder Cattle Hit Record Highs: Feeder cattle contracts are trading at $382.725/cwt, a record high, including adjusted for inflation. The previous peak was $320 in today’s dollars. Futures across the board remain elevated, averaging about $380/cwt, an indication that tight supplies will l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Does Bias in CONAB’s Forecasts Imply Even Bigger Crops?

CONAB recently released its first forecasts for the 2025/26 corn, soybean, and wheat crops (among others) and pegged production for the first two at massive levels. The soybean crop was forecast at a record 177.6 MMT, up sharply from the prior year and easily the largest on record due to expand...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trump Tweet Can’t Sustain Soyoil Rally; Corn Firms on Yield Concerns

President Trump’s tweet about possibly restricting used cooking oil imports from China and more yield concerns for Midwest corn crops created mixed trade at the CBOT Wednesday. Soyoil, corn, and soymeal all pushed higher in a combination of technical and fundamentally-driven trade with co...

Sorry Soy; Strategy for Generational Rebuttal

Sorry Soy Thomas Suddes, a reporter for The Plain Dealer cutely writes that Trump’s bubble-gum-and-twine trade “policy” has wrecked America-to-China soybean sales. He is correct that the current Sino-American trade war has ended U.S. soybean sales to the Middle Kingdom, someth...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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