GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning, lower for everything but soyoil. Soyoil futures followed a strong performance by palm, which jumped to new contract highs, and firmer crude oil which trades closer to the $80/barrel mark. Oilshare is soaring, as Egypt comes to tender for some as well. Beans made new lows in the night session but are recovering slowly following the palm. Grains remain in congestion mode. China markets are closed for holiday. The October USDA will be important in that yields will become more exact. In front of that report come the guesses. StoneX raised its corn yield to 176.7 bpa from 177.5 bpa prev. report, with production at 15.022 bln bu from 14.998 bln bu...
Argentina Export Tax Reform The Argentine government announced a new long-term schedule for reducing export taxes ("retenciones"), one of the main policy tools affecting agricultural profitability and farmer selling decisions. Export taxes are applied directly to export values and have historic...
What You Need to Know Today: Agricultural commodities were mostly lower on the day, with red-hot soyoil a notable exception. Export sales were a bit underwhelming, particularly for corn with export sales down 52 percent week-over-week. The weakness in ag markets tracked crude oil weakness wit...
With the war in Iran affecting fuel and fertilizer prices, higher tariffs, weak commodity prices, ag labor constraints, and other factors, farm bankruptcies are now at a 6-year high, a signal of growing stress. During the month of April, 62 Chapter 12 bankruptcies were filed, which is a 1...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.