World Perspectives

Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan

U.S. agriculture representatives returning from a trade mission to India are all excited about their prospects for boosting sales to the world’s most populous country. They are likely suffering from what the great psychologist and behavioral economist Daniel Kahneman called focusing illusion. India claims to be food insecure and demands the use of trade destabilizing mechanisms such as food stockholding, but it is among the world’s top 10 exporters of food. Its exports are down this year due to adverse weather, but New Delhi is acutely focused on food self-sufficiency and boosting exports to help its farmers.  The Dominican Republic, which has the same per capita income as India but only 0.79 percent of the population is a...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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