S&P Global is the first private firm to issue an acreage planted forecast following USDA’s prediction for the upcoming campaign, but it will not be the last. The annual exercise is riskier this far out from when planting actually occurs because markets can change and farmers have certain flexibilities. Nonetheless, these early forecasts present some notable analyses:

Soybean acres will increase versus 2022, and corn acres decline, but not enough for corn to overtake soybeans. It will be the largest number of acres planted to soybeans since 2018. Acres planted to wheat will be the largest since 2016.  Total acres planted to the big three, wheat, corn and soybeans, will be the largest since 2013.  If yields are opti...