USDA’s May WASDE report was perhaps surprisingly bearish wheat. Futures hit yet more new record lows again today. For the U.S., USDA found higher yields running into lower demand. Globally, the agency sees increasing production even in countries like Russia and China where conditions have looked less favorable. 

Global wheat exports continue growing as ending stocks stabilize but are still historically low. Import demand by the top wheat importing countries continues to grow, averaging a 1.5 percent CAGR over the past decade. Overall, global wheat production expands at an average 0.657 percent, as consumption rises by 0.92 percent. Average global wheat yield growth at 0.712 percent is somewhat offset by the area harvested declin...