World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11-15 April 2022 The Russian Ministry of Agriculture reported expectations that spring crops will be planted on 81.3 Mha of land, an increase of 1 Mha from last year. Agriculture Minister Dmitriy Patrushev expects the crop to reach 123 MMT, with wheat accounting for 80 MMT. Although sanctions are affecting the Russian agricultural sector, previously imported seeds, fertilizers, and chemicals should be sufficient for the spring planting campaign. This is especially true if China, one of Russia’s main trading partners in agricultural chemicals, keeps its doors open for economic cooperation. As of early April 2022, Russia planted 542,000 ha of spring crops and fertilized 6 Mha of winter crops. The Ministry is con...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday but Friday is Another Day

Today’s trading opened with a head scratcher after USDA reported 135 KMT of U.S. corn sold to China. There isn’t any corn import demand in China, and if there was it probably would not originate from the U.S. It was quickly corrected to be bound to South Korea.   Nonethele...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2425/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.1/short ton, down $2.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest er...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday but Friday is Another Day

Today’s trading opened with a head scratcher after USDA reported 135 KMT of U.S. corn sold to China. There isn’t any corn import demand in China, and if there was it probably would not originate from the U.S. It was quickly corrected to be bound to South Korea.   Nonethele...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2425/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.1/short ton, down $2.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest er...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trade Deal News Fails to Excite Ag Markets

The CBOT tried to rally early on Wednesday after traders had the opportunity to react to the U.S.-Japan trade deal, but a lack of details left markets wondering about the true impact on U.S. balance sheets. That meant corn, soybeans, and wheat all settled lower for the day, with favorable Midwe...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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