World Perspectives
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Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revised Russia’s 2025/26 wheat export potential to 41.3 MMT, up from 40 MMT. IKAR also believes that spring frosts did no serious damage to winter crops. USDA’s May forecast for the new 2025/26 season leaves Russia number one in global wheat exports at 45 MMT – up 1.5 MMT from this season. USDA predicts that all major wheat players on the global market will improve their positions including the EU, Australia, Argentina, and even Ukraine (...

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wheat

WASDE Wheat - Feb 2026

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. wheat is unchanged for exports and slightly higher ending stocks to 931 million bushels - 9 percent higher than last year and the largest since 2019/20. The projected 2025/26 season-average farm price remains at $4.90 per bushel.  The global outlook fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: WASDE Confirms Big Supply, Big Demand; Soybeans Gain on Brazil Quality

The headline numbers from the February WASDE – the South American production estimates – were mostly in line with expectations, which is to say the massive Brazilian soybean crop was found to be even more so. USDA increased its assessment of the Brazilian crop to a new record, which...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Feb 2026

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. soybean supply and use projections are unchanged. As a result, the season-average soybean price is projected unchanged at $10.20 per bushel. Soybean meal and oil prices are unchanged at $295 per short ton and 53 cents per pound. Global 2025/26 soybean endin...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Feb 2026

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. wheat is unchanged for exports and slightly higher ending stocks to 931 million bushels - 9 percent higher than last year and the largest since 2019/20. The projected 2025/26 season-average farm price remains at $4.90 per bushel.  The global outlook fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: WASDE Confirms Big Supply, Big Demand; Soybeans Gain on Brazil Quality

The headline numbers from the February WASDE – the South American production estimates – were mostly in line with expectations, which is to say the massive Brazilian soybean crop was found to be even more so. USDA increased its assessment of the Brazilian crop to a new record, which...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Feb 2026

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. soybean supply and use projections are unchanged. As a result, the season-average soybean price is projected unchanged at $10.20 per bushel. Soybean meal and oil prices are unchanged at $295 per short ton and 53 cents per pound. Global 2025/26 soybean endin...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Feb 2026

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. corn is for greater exports and lower ending stocks. Exports are increased 100 million bushels to 3.3 billion, reflecting sales and shipments to date. With no supply changes and use increasing, corn ending stocks are down 100 million bushels to 2.1 billion...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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