World Perspectives
livestock

Cattle Inventory Report Preview

Tomorrow, USDA will release the semi-annual cattle inventory report reflecting cattle numbers as of 1 January. The pre-report consensus estimate is the total number of cattle will come in at about 98 percent of last year, indicating the contraction cycle continued through 2023. January 2023 saw the smallest beginning of the year cattle inventory since 2015; this year’s expected decrease in the herd would make it the smallest since 1951.  Expectations for tomorrow’s report are for almost every category to be down meaningfully from last year, except for beef replacement heifers. The average estimate is just marginally below last year’s total, but that range of forecasts is wide, from 97 percent at the low end to 104...

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Competing Manufacturing Data

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Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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