Macro Trends Food Inflation Hits Seventh-Month High As the trade war with the U.S. has continued, monthly food costs in China surged with the end of summer, rising 3.6 percent on average in September compared with a year ago. For 2018, this represents the biggest uptick since February when prices climbed due to the annual New Year celebrations. Apart from the impact of tariffs on U.S. agricultural foodstuffs, China’s reliance on Brazilian soybeans to fill the gap is pushing up the price of cooking oil. This is because soyoil is the most commonly consumed vegetable oil. The most significant driver overall, however, has been the price of pork. The ongoing African swine fever (ASF) problem (see below) has been a factor in the average l...