World Perspectives

Cost of Production Estimates Show Little Relief, Worry on Margins

Yesterday, WPI discussed the various measures of inflation, and the drop in energy costs which held down the CPI, but not the alternative measures of inflationary pressures which exclude energy. Some of that same dynamic can be seen in the USDA’s most recent cost of production report, forecasting for both 2023 and 2024. Lower natural gas and nitrogen fertilizer prices are reflected in the forecast, but other categories like labor, machinery and equipment, taxes, and insurance are all forecast to increase. With corn prices expected to moderate, this could pressure farmers’ margins this year and into next. Since 2020, in percentage terms, fertilizer and interest rates have seen the greatest increase in costs – both up 78 pe...

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Beef packer margins reversed sharply to -$17/head from $120/head the prior week, as rising fed cattle prices more than offset a modest decline in the Choice cutout. Fed cattle prices increased $12.92/cwt from the prior week while the cutout slipped $3.24/cwt, compressing gross margins and pushi...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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