Key Takeaways:

EPA granted full or partial Small Refinery Exemptions to 29 of the 34 petitions under consideration, removing approximately 1.76 billion RINs from 2025 compliance obligations, roughly 770 million more RINs than EPA had previously anticipated. The larger exemption total does not necessarily translate into an equivalent loss of renewable fuel demand, as EPA intends to propose reallocating 100 percent of the difference between projected and actual 2025 exemptions into the 2026 and 2027 Renewable Volume Obligations. The SRE decision does not materially weaken the policy-driven demand outlook for soyoil as a biomass-based diesel feedstock. While the exact feedstock mix used to satisfy future obligations remains uncertain, realloc...