World Perspectives
biofuel

Ethanol Outlook

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) last week. Those projections offer a glimmer of hope that the industry can start to chip away at the growing stocks of fuel. The ethanol consumption forecasts for 2019 and 2020 were raised to 951,000 barrels per day (bpd) and 952,000 bpd, respectively, versus the 2018 estimate of 939,000 bpd. The overall motor gasoline consumption is pegged at 9.35 million bpd for both 2019 and 2020, which will support higher ethanol blending next year. Biodiesel consumption is expected to be 164,000 bpd in 2019 and then increase to 174,000 bpd in 2020. Those biodiesel forecasts are projected against production levels of 144,000 bpd in 2019 and 158,...

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Summary of Futures

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Government Shutdown Averted; Process Provides Insights into 2025 Policy Making

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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