Regional News French traders continue to express concern about losing wheat market share with Algeria and now China increasingly relying on Russian wheat. Recent news that China waived phytosanitary requirements for Russian wheat and barley are increasing worries that the Middle Kingdom, so far a major buyer of French wheat given the poor quality of the 2021/22 harvest, will favor Russian grain going forward. The weather in northern Africa remains hot and dry, which is escalating concerns for a significant crop-damaging drought in the region. European traders are watching the situation carefully as a crop failure in the region could pull large volumes of wheat, barely, and maize from the EU into Africa. Additionally, parts of...
Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2026 The new marketing season has officially begun in Russia, although bearish sentiment has been concentrated in the southern regions closest to the Black Sea ports, where export demand has been weakest. Delays in grain deliveries to inland elevators have...
What You Need to Know Today: The hot, dry weather forecast continues to drive strength in grain futures with corn and soybeans hitting another day of strong gains. Monday’s Crop Progress and Conditions data were in line with market expectations and showed relatively few concerns for the...
Key Takeaways: The Middle East and North Africa's arid climate and limited water resources have created a structural dependence on imported wheat. Government wheat tenders in major importing countries serve as important benchmarks for global trade, providing insight into exporter competitivene...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.