The Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate unchanged this week at the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).  As WPI reported on 23 January,  … the Federal Funds futures market was pricing in a more than 97 percent chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged at its meeting on 31 January, and an expectation that rates will be cut at the 1 May meeting. So far, half of that outlook has proven correct.  What remains to be seen is what unfolds in the next four months.  In a statement after the meeting the FOMC said it “does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent” and t...