World Perspectives

Food Inflation

U.S. gasoline prices are up 60 percent June to June and deservedly receive more than food price inflation. Year to date, consumer food inflation is at 6.7 percent, though USDA expects it to be closer to 8.5 to 9.5 percent. The meat category is a main component pulling it higher with consumer inflation at 12.14 percent. This contrasts with a 20-year average of all consumer food advancing at a 2.4 percent annual rate. USDA expects consumer food inflation to cool dramatically in 2023 to 2.5 to 3.5 percent, closer to its historical average.  At the producer level, cattle prices in 2022 will advance 12.5 to 15.5 percent, versus pork at -1.5 to 1.5 percent. However, the real price spike is occurring in dairy and poultry. To manage inflation...

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Market Commentary: Black Sea Instability and Trade War Influences

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Cattle on Feed Report

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. Once again, placements surprised to the upside compared to pre-report analysts’ consensus expectations. The total cattle on feed inventory was 11.986 million head, which was slightly above last year’s 11.956 million head. Total feedlot inve...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.255/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.6475/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.835/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $289.2/short ton, up $1.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Black Sea Instability and Trade War Influences

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Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.255/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.6475/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.835/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $289.2/short ton, up $1.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Quarterly Grain Balance Sheet Forecasts

The latest updates and model runs from WPI’s grain balance sheet and pricing forecasts show that corn and wheat are likely to see stronger-than-expected demand that should create upside potential for cash and futures markets. Conversely, soybeans are expected to see weaker demand (particularly...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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