Iran is seizing foreign-flagged vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S. is shooting down drones in the region. Analysts say that Tehran is intentionally driving up oil prices to obtain global pushback against the American sanctions that are crippling the Iranian economy. They also warn that attacking shipping in the region will cause an increase in contracted freight rates due to the hike in insurance war risk premia. During past periods of high-level geopolitical tension in the region, the London-based War Risks Rating Committee allowed that premium to nearly double. However, the threat to tanker rates does not appear to have carried over to the bulkers that would be carrying grain. In fact, the charts below show little change...
What You Need to Know Today: Agricultural commodities were mostly lower on the day, with red-hot soyoil a notable exception. Export sales were a bit underwhelming, particularly for corn with export sales down 52 percent week-over-week. The weakness in ag markets tracked crude oil weakness wit...
With the war in Iran affecting fuel and fertilizer prices, higher tariffs, weak commodity prices, ag labor constraints, and other factors, farm bankruptcies are now at a 6-year high, a signal of growing stress. During the month of April, 62 Chapter 12 bankruptcies were filed, which is a 1...
Food Inflation The Open Markets Institute, which is notably funded by several “anonymous” donors and liberal foundations, obtained a guest editorial in the New York Times in which they blame agribusiness concentration for higher grocery prices. This is their schtick and it is politi...
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