World Perspectives
livestock

Hog Price “Hockey Stick;” China’s Poultry Imports

Hog Price “Hockey Stick” The impacts of African swine fever (ASF) in China are being felt in the hog market. Last week hog prices rebounded to their three-year average, charting out a classic “hockey stick.” The nearby futures contract closed yesterday at $81.325/cwt, up from the contract low of $52.5/cwt in mid-February. Given the volatile nature of the U.S.-China trade situation, the big question will be how long the highs will last.

The bullish turn in the hog market has had a dramatic effect in just two weeks, pulling up production margins.

As of 1 March, the Chinese hog and sow herds were estimated to be down 17 percent and 19 percent, respectively. China slaughters about 700 million head per year, so a 1...

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Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3125/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.525/bushel, up $0.1525 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3725/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $307.9/short ton, up $4.9 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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