World Perspectives
livestock

Hogs and Pigs Report Preview

On Thursday, USDA will release its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report for the June through August quarter showing the inventory as of 1 September. Pre-report expectations peg the total inventory at 100.5 percent of last year. That would imply 75.7 million head, the largest inventory for the quarter since 2020.  The table below shows all the pre-report expectations by category.   Pigs saved per litter is 101 percent of last year, which was a quarterly record at 11.61, so if that estimate is correct there will be a new record.  The analysts' consensus guesss is that the pig crop will be 99 percent of last year; the range among the forecasts was a low of 98.7 to 99.6 percent, or in other words no forecast of growth, wh...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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