On Thursday, USDA will release its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report for the June through August quarter showing the inventory as of 1 September. Pre-report expectations peg the total inventory at 100.5 percent of last year. That would imply 75.7 million head, the largest inventory for the quarter since 2020.
The table below shows all the pre-report expectations by category.
Pigs saved per litter is 101 percent of last year, which was a quarterly record at 11.61, so if that estimate is correct there will be a new record.
The analysts' consensus guesss is that the pig crop will be 99 percent of last year; the range among the forecasts was a low of 98.7 to 99.6 percent, or in other words no forecast of growth, wh...
What You Need to Know Today: As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75–4.00 percent, its first rate increase since 2023, as policymakers respond to persistent inflation pressures. The Fed also signaled that additi...
Key Takeaways: USDA data access is equal; the ability to use it is not. Larger operations can afford experts who turn public reports into business decisions. Analytical capacity is the true advantage. Forecasts matter only when converted into profit, purchasing, and risk-management decisions...
