World Perspectives
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India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

  Record Sugar Production Expected as Prices Tumble and Arrears Mount India’s sugar production for 2017/18 (October-September) is now expected to total 30.3 MMT, up from the previous estimate of 29.5 MMT. The production cycle is coming to an end with output reaching a high of 28.18 MMT for the first six months of the year. Since the start of the season, the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) spot prices have dropped 19.97 percent. As sugar prices continue to slide lower because of selling pressure, the sugar companies are unable to pay farmers on time, and the arrears swelled to $2.44 billion by the end of March with the possibility of rising further. The government of India (GOI) has removed the 20 percent ex...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Q1 GDP Comes in Low, Interest Rate Expected to Stay High

The Q1 2024 GDP was 1.6 percent, well below the pre-report consensus expectation of 2.4 percent, and down from 3.1 percent in Q1 2023 and 3.4 percent in Q4 2023. That rate was the slowest in almost two years, dating back to Q2 2022.  Recall that in the 2 February Ag Perspectives report on...

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