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India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Stable Pulses Demand; Prices Remain Low India’s 2018/10 khariff pulses production is expected to reach 9.2 MMT, down slightly from 9.34 MMT in the previous season. With the rabi crops (sown in October/November and harvested in April) forecast at over 15 MMT, there will be suffient domestic production to meet India’s demand of 24 MMT. Prices should be high in when demand and supply are so balanced with imports thus restricted, but that is not the case. Chickpea is one of the major pulses, and while demand is good, it is produced in the rabi season. India produced 11.23 MMT in 2017/18, and there is certainly an oversupply. Its prices are curently 6.75 percent lower than the government of India’s (GOI”s) announded Min...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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