USDA will release its Cattle on Feed report tomorrow; analysts’ pre-report estimates peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 September 100 percent of September 2021. The range of analysts’ guesses were tight; from 99 percent to 100.5 percent of a year ago. The implied inventory of cattle on feed from the average forecast would be 11.2 million head, the same as last month.  

The potential mystery in tomorrow's report could be placements. The range of estimates is wide – from 93 percent to 101 percent of last year. Note the reported average expectation is an Olympic average of the analysts' estimates – throwing out the high and the low before calculating the average. The average estimate is 98.5 per...