The U.S. cattle herd is still in a contraction phase. USDA released its Cattle Inventory report yesterday. The total inventory of all cattle and calves as of 1 January was 87.2 million head; that compares to 89.3 million head, or 98 percent, of the cattle inventory on 1 January 2022. That is the smallest U.S. cattle herd since 1951.

Yesterday’s report made a few revisions on prior reports dating back to July 2022. The most significant was the beef heifer replacements for 1 January 2023. Last year, beef replacement heifers were reported at 5.1637 million head, or 94 percent of the January 2022 total. In this year’s revision, that number dropped to 4.9296 million head, which puts replacement heifers in the beginning of 2023 at...