World Perspectives

Looking Ahead at Farmland Values

Crop land values appreciated significantly during the long tail of COVID impacts. It was predictable. Commodity prices were increasing. Inflation was high, with land being a good hedge. Additionally, interest rates were low through 2021 and into Q1 of 2022.  

But with all that changing – moderating inflation, relatively high interest rates, and declining commodity prices - what will farmland value look like moving forward? As of two weeks ago, the Federal Funds futures market was pricing in a more than 97 percent chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged at its meeting on 31 January, and an expectation that rates will be cut at the 1 May meeting. Nonetheless, higher borrowing and carrying costs have impacted farmers&rsqu...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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