Overnight trade in grain and soy futures featured higher prices and modest volume. Soybeans were the leader with the November contract up about 7.5 cents. The grains were higher but more timidly so. Chicago wheat was up about 4 cents, and corn’s gains were limited to fractions. Trading volume was also limited during the day session. Soybeans continued to trade green numbers based on short covering and technical considerations with November trading above $8.50 resistance. As the day session ended, however, the best soybeans could do was to close with November exactly at $8.50, a 4.25 cent gain. We suppose this can be viewed as a technical draw. Soy products were firm with meal $0.80-1.70 higher and soyoil up 11-15 points. Wheat future...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Yesterday’s momentum is facing a tougher test today. Stocks and most grain markets have pulled back, while higher Treasury yields and a firmer dollar are making buyers work harder to defend the gains. Crude oil has turned lower, easing some immediate energy pressure, but the Fed minutes l...
Key Takeaways: Corn prices will see support in 2026/27 and likely average $5.11/bushel for farm-gate values across the marketing year. Support for corn values comes from an 8 percent year-over-year reduction in supplies that is only partially offset by a 2 percent reduction in total use. Soybe...
Key Takeaways: Global vegetable oil production continues to expand, but the major oils are being driven by very different supply, demand, and trade dynamics. Palm oil faces heavy near-term supply pressure from rising Malaysian inventories, while Indonesia’s B50 mandate and El Niño...