World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Black Sea Export Deal Renewed; Fund Selling Hammers CBOT

The CBOT feature one-direction trade at mid-week – lower – with funds continuing to rapidly exit long positions in the grain markets and/or pile into newly profitable short positions. While technical/fund selling drove most of the day’s price action, bearish fundamental factors were also at play. First, rumors broke early in the day that Russia and Ukraine agreed to a new export corridor deal, rumors that were later confirmed. Second, the U.S. dollar rose for the day and pressured wheat and, to a lesser extent, soybean futures as U.S. export competitiveness waned under the rally. Finally, with the exception of North Dakota, the U.S. weather patterns look nearly ideal for planting the 2023 spring crops and for their develop...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.1675/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.945/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285/short ton, up $4.5 from yeste...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Steady Eddie Back to Work

It was a contrast of a mostly higher day but with new contract lows for corn and all three wheats. Corn wilted from private forecasts of big yields, and expectations of good crop conditions in contrast with slowed export inspections.  It was mostly steady on the first day of a new week wit...

Politics of Tariffs; Tariffs as a Tax

Politics of Tariffs The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington heard legal arguments last week regarding Donald Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to circumvent Congress’s power to levy tariffs. The reported reaction of the co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.1675/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.945/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285/short ton, up $4.5 from yeste...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Steady Eddie Back to Work

It was a contrast of a mostly higher day but with new contract lows for corn and all three wheats. Corn wilted from private forecasts of big yields, and expectations of good crop conditions in contrast with slowed export inspections.  It was mostly steady on the first day of a new week wit...

Politics of Tariffs; Tariffs as a Tax

Politics of Tariffs The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington heard legal arguments last week regarding Donald Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to circumvent Congress’s power to levy tariffs. The reported reaction of the co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Weather Disrupts Argentine Corn Harvest  Heavy rains have compounded weeks of high humidity in Buenos Aires province, marking July as the wettest in the core region in 40 years. While the improved soil moisture will be beneficial for corn planting that’s set to begin in about a month...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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