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Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Falling USD, Tariff Pause, and Technical Buying

CBOT futures and ag markets look very different today than they did just one week ago. Last Friday, ag futures were deep in the red with traders exiting positions and engaging in risk-off trade as the outlook for U.S. trade and the global economy seemed far from certain. This week, futures ended higher and took back more or all last week’s losses with more trade-friendly developments on the tariff front supporting market sentiment. Another major factor pushing futures higher has been the slide in the U.S. dollar, which has added to U.S. export competitiveness despite the trade war(s). Funds and commercials were both net buyers for the day and the myriad bullish technical developments that occurred this week should keep markets on firm...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $299.6/short ton, up $1.7 f...

Budget Reconciliation: A Step Closer to “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed a budget bill by a vote of 216 to 214. The two Republican “no” votes were from Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, neither of which was a surprise. Massie has been a skeptic of the bill all along and Spartz famousl...

Tariff War Patience; Self-Sufficiency; Reciprocal Treatment

Tariff War Patience The latest Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey of farmers fell 12 points or nearly 8 percent on concerns about the trade war’s impact on export markets. Surveys indicate that the American public expects tariffs to raise their cost of living. They al...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $299.6/short ton, up $1.7 f...

Budget Reconciliation: A Step Closer to “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed a budget bill by a vote of 216 to 214. The two Republican “no” votes were from Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, neither of which was a surprise. Massie has been a skeptic of the bill all along and Spartz famousl...

Tariff War Patience; Self-Sufficiency; Reciprocal Treatment

Tariff War Patience The latest Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey of farmers fell 12 points or nearly 8 percent on concerns about the trade war’s impact on export markets. Surveys indicate that the American public expects tariffs to raise their cost of living. They al...

A Timeline of Tariffs

As WPI readers will be fully aware, there has recently been a flood of discussion about tariffs facing U.S. agricultural exports and imports. To date, WPI has been dissatisfied with the presentation of the timeline of these tariffs and evaluation of the full duties U.S. exports face entering fo...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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