World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Comfortable, With Jitters

There was generally low volume in grains today as traders await USDA’s important reports on Friday. There is no reason to spend more money on fees or commissions after spending several days aligning with the perceived outcomes. At the same time, market noise does not completely stop and there is inevitably a little bit of second guessing. But the trading that does occur has narrowed in range. Barring any significant development, this will be the result of edginess until noon EST on Friday. There is plenty of volatility in outside markets, but things are mostly in a holding pattern for ags.Part of the position squaring this week ahead of Friday’s USDA January WASDE report is the trade’s assumptions about the final production numbers for the...

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Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved sharply, with estimated net losses narrowing to -$111/head from -$206/head the prior week. The recovery was driven by another firming in the boxed beef cutout, which rose to $379.00/cwt, while fed cattle prices softened modestly on the week. Even with the improvemen...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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