World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Futures Surge as Dollar Slides

The first full day of the Trump Presidency saw CBOT grain futures surge as the U.S. dollar pulled back sharply. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all saw strong buying influences after the long U.S. holiday weekend with traders seeing bullish news from several points. The first point was President Trump’s apparent decision to delay applying tariffs to a slate of U.S. goods. That brought significant relief that U.S. grain exports might not suffer another “trade war” as they did in 2018, though Trump has vowed to apply tariffs against Canada and Mexico starting 1 February. Next was the bullishness reflected in funds’ positioning in grains, per the latest CFTC report. Funds continued to expand long positions in corn and flipped...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Ends Lower as Slow Export News Overrides Black Sea Tensions

The CBOT was mostly lower at mid-week with the threat of Russian attacks on Ukrainian vessels and ag infrastructure taking a backseat to the lack of export news, particularly from China. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all settled in the red for the day with soybeans leading the downside move on anot...

Waste Energy; Selective Protectionism

Waste Energy The cudgel held over agriculture-based feedstocks has typically been indirect land use. The U.S. biofuel industry is currently battling with California regulators over its calculation. Works in Progress editor Samuel Hughes identifies land use restrictions as newly common across al...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.435/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3825/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1575/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $311.3/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Ends Lower as Slow Export News Overrides Black Sea Tensions

The CBOT was mostly lower at mid-week with the threat of Russian attacks on Ukrainian vessels and ag infrastructure taking a backseat to the lack of export news, particularly from China. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all settled in the red for the day with soybeans leading the downside move on anot...

Waste Energy; Selective Protectionism

Waste Energy The cudgel held over agriculture-based feedstocks has typically been indirect land use. The U.S. biofuel industry is currently battling with California regulators over its calculation. Works in Progress editor Samuel Hughes identifies land use restrictions as newly common across al...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.435/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3825/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1575/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $311.3/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The following tables/charts reflect the CFTC's latest data release, which covers traders' positions through 21 October. The data are, obviously, delayed due to the 40-day 2025 U.S. government shutdown. While the positions below likely have little influence on today's markets or fund positioning...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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