World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Market Stalls Waiting for South American Weather Definition

There were modest volumes on this last trading day of the week, except in soymeal and cattle where the goal was to get out of the former and into the latter. There were new contract highs, again, in cattle. Overall weakness was blamed on Argentina’s announced lower tax rates on commodity exports as noted in this report yesterday. However, that is somewhat ephemeral relative to the total supply and demand impacts of weather (see below).  Overall, the big mover this week was the cattle market, and it still has room for increases. The March feeder cattle was 3.18 percent higher on the week. 

The bottom line is that the dollar is overvalued, especially on an inflation-adjusted basis. Morgan Stanley reports that a ‘silent...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.655/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9525/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6125/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $328/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pragmatic Escape Ahead of Weekend

On Monday of this week, traders were met with limit-down losses in soybeans, plus double-digit losses in corn, soymeal, and wheat. For many, it didn’t feel good. The war in Iran presented surprises, including the postponement of a Trump-Xi meeting expected to sell some soybeans. Fundament...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Neutral

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.5 million head, just slightly below last year.  Marketings were 1.52 million head, at 93 percent of last year, in line with the pre...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.655/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9525/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6125/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $328/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pragmatic Escape Ahead of Weekend

On Monday of this week, traders were met with limit-down losses in soybeans, plus double-digit losses in corn, soymeal, and wheat. For many, it didn’t feel good. The war in Iran presented surprises, including the postponement of a Trump-Xi meeting expected to sell some soybeans. Fundament...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Neutral

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.5 million head, just slightly below last year.  Marketings were 1.52 million head, at 93 percent of last year, in line with the pre...

soy-oilseeds biofuel energy

Soy Product Pricing and Crush Margins Amid Energy Uncertainty

Volatility has been the key word for commodity markets lately, especially the energy complex and anything loosely tied to it. The effective derivatives of the energy complex include, through the linkages of biodiesel, soyoil, and soybeans, and these markets have seen incredible rallies this yea...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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