There were modest volumes on this last trading day of the week, except in soymeal and cattle where the goal was to get out of the former and into the latter. There were new contract highs, again, in cattle. Overall weakness was blamed on Argentina’s announced lower tax rates on commodity exports as noted in this report yesterday. However, that is somewhat ephemeral relative to the total supply and demand impacts of weather (see below).  Overall, the big mover this week was the cattle market, and it still has room for increases. The March feeder cattle was 3.18 percent higher on the week. 

The bottom line is that the dollar is overvalued, especially on an inflation-adjusted basis. Morgan Stanley reports that a ‘silent...