World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Small But Bearish Changes

When you see a bear, start backward charging, and that is what corn, beans, and wheat did today. The Board was under pressure ahead of the release of USDA’S April WASDE report and while few changes were expected in the report, and few were made, the ones announced reinforced the bearish trend in place.  The WASDE was bearish U.S. carryover stocks. The market expected USDA to lower corn ending stocks based on higher ethanol grind and exports. It shaved off 50 million bushels, but the market was looking for a larger 70 MBU cut. A similar situation unfolded for soybeans with the market seeing a small 2 MBU increase but USDA adding a much larger 25 MBU. And finally, there is wheat, with pundits calling for somewhere around a 12-18...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather Forecasts while Livestock Futures Hit New Highs

Except for the livestock futures, which all hit new contract or record highs, the CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with favorable weather and bearish chart conditions driving the sentiment. The index fund roll ticked off its second of five days on Monday, so spreads and volumes patterns...

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up; CAP Rush; Europe’s Military and Agriculture

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up The big story involves U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators meeting in London this week. Discussions lasted three hours today and resume tomorrow but no one sees agriculture being involved in the talks. Instead, the focus is on export controls where Beijing is limiting...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather Forecasts while Livestock Futures Hit New Highs

Except for the livestock futures, which all hit new contract or record highs, the CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with favorable weather and bearish chart conditions driving the sentiment. The index fund roll ticked off its second of five days on Monday, so spreads and volumes patterns...

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up; CAP Rush; Europe’s Military and Agriculture

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up The big story involves U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators meeting in London this week. Discussions lasted three hours today and resume tomorrow but no one sees agriculture being involved in the talks. Instead, the focus is on export controls where Beijing is limiting...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.42/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.5/short ton, down $0.2...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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