Rebalancing from last Friday’s USDA Acreage report appears to now be complete as corn and soybeans traded places and wheat flounders sideways. On the bearish side, U.S. prices continue to sit on the global high side, stifling the export trade. Still bullish is suboptimal moisture levels in key production areas. Overall, the situation should now shift to something less volatile.

That is assuming the improved trend in weather holds up. Today’s Drought Monitor report showed the improved moisture conditions in Illinois and Indiana, but worsening soil moisture deficits in Missouri, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. 

There is a series of ridges bringing cooler air down from Canada and stimulating rainfall that mostly benefits south...