World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, WASDE, Fundamentals and Mixed Markets

Tariffs are down for many countries other than China, but they have not gone away. Yesterday’s market exuberance over the temporary pause was just a sugar high and reality returned on Thursday. The better-than-expected decline in inflation (CPI) in March wasn’t enough for outside markets and traders paired back bets. Unlike tariffs or CPI, the April WASDE report was not expected to move markets. It certainly did not move them in any unexpected way since the report itself was within the market’s expected range.   USDA had not changed the U.S. corn ending stocks number since January. It needed to increase the export number, which should trail back into ending stocks, and it did both. Following are some notable take...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Exports Hit Record; WASDE Little Changed for Soy, Wheat

The CBOT wasn’t expecting much from the December WASDE report and USDA delivered fully on those expectations. The headline numbers were the increase of corn exports to a record-breaking 3.2 Bbu and a commensurate reduction in ending stocks. Soybeans and wheat were left out of the balance...

China Market Analysis

Moving the Goal Posts China is a critical demand driver for U.S. soybean farmers and they rallied when the White House announced on Halloween that China had committed to buying 12 MMT of soybeans by year’s end, and then 25 MMT over the coming three years. There were ample skeptics at the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.48/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.8725/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $5 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Exports Hit Record; WASDE Little Changed for Soy, Wheat

The CBOT wasn’t expecting much from the December WASDE report and USDA delivered fully on those expectations. The headline numbers were the increase of corn exports to a record-breaking 3.2 Bbu and a commensurate reduction in ending stocks. Soybeans and wheat were left out of the balance...

China Market Analysis

Moving the Goal Posts China is a critical demand driver for U.S. soybean farmers and they rallied when the White House announced on Halloween that China had committed to buying 12 MMT of soybeans by year’s end, and then 25 MMT over the coming three years. There were ample skeptics at the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.48/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.8725/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $5 f...

Trump Announces Farm Bailout

President Trump announced a total of $12 billion in funding for an ag agriculture bailout program yesterday. The funds will come from tariff revenue collected from the new tariffs.   The package includes $11 billion in one-time payments to crop farmers through a new USDA program, the...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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