World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, WASDE, Fundamentals and Mixed Markets

Tariffs are down for many countries other than China, but they have not gone away. Yesterday’s market exuberance over the temporary pause was just a sugar high and reality returned on Thursday. The better-than-expected decline in inflation (CPI) in March wasn’t enough for outside markets and traders paired back bets. Unlike tariffs or CPI, the April WASDE report was not expected to move markets. It certainly did not move them in any unexpected way since the report itself was within the market’s expected range.   USDA had not changed the U.S. corn ending stocks number since January. It needed to increase the export number, which should trail back into ending stocks, and it did both. Following are some notable take...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for a second consecutive week but remained firmly negative. Margins rose $70/head to –$179 as the Choice cutout advanced $4.56/cwt and fed cattle prices were largely stable. The recovery narrowed the gap between breakeven and cash cattle values to roughly $19/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support from export-led grain demand. Shortly after the day session began, however, hopes of higher trade for grains quickly evaporated as funds and s...

GI Chimera; Catch Bees with Honey; AI My Eye

GI Chimera The EU-Mercosur trade agreement has hit another stumbling block after the European Parliament asked the EU’s high court to first assess the text for its legality. Once that exercise is complete, Europe’s politicians promise plenty more hurdles to stymie agricultural impor...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for a second consecutive week but remained firmly negative. Margins rose $70/head to –$179 as the Choice cutout advanced $4.56/cwt and fed cattle prices were largely stable. The recovery narrowed the gap between breakeven and cash cattle values to roughly $19/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support from export-led grain demand. Shortly after the day session began, however, hopes of higher trade for grains quickly evaporated as funds and s...

GI Chimera; Catch Bees with Honey; AI My Eye

GI Chimera The EU-Mercosur trade agreement has hit another stumbling block after the European Parliament asked the EU’s high court to first assess the text for its legality. Once that exercise is complete, Europe’s politicians promise plenty more hurdles to stymie agricultural impor...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.645/bushel, up $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $0.2...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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