World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, WASDE, Fundamentals and Mixed Markets

Tariffs are down for many countries other than China, but they have not gone away. Yesterday’s market exuberance over the temporary pause was just a sugar high and reality returned on Thursday. The better-than-expected decline in inflation (CPI) in March wasn’t enough for outside markets and traders paired back bets. Unlike tariffs or CPI, the April WASDE report was not expected to move markets. It certainly did not move them in any unexpected way since the report itself was within the market’s expected range.   USDA had not changed the U.S. corn ending stocks number since January. It needed to increase the export number, which should trail back into ending stocks, and it did both. Following are some notable take...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts, ending a ten-week streak of net buying. Funds sold 62,000 contracts (6.4 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week with selling in corn, soybeans, and CBOT wheat respon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.41/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.71/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.7575/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.8/short ton, up $14.2 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Conflicting Factors Equals Mixed Day

There are so many conflicting narratives between war and peace, rain and drought, hopes and fears, that it was a mixed day of trading on Friday, and a mixed outcome for the week.  For today, corn suffered its sixth lower day in the past seven trading sessions. There was high volume in soyb...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts, ending a ten-week streak of net buying. Funds sold 62,000 contracts (6.4 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week with selling in corn, soybeans, and CBOT wheat respon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.41/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.71/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.7575/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.8/short ton, up $14.2 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Conflicting Factors Equals Mixed Day

There are so many conflicting narratives between war and peace, rain and drought, hopes and fears, that it was a mixed day of trading on Friday, and a mixed outcome for the week.  For today, corn suffered its sixth lower day in the past seven trading sessions. There was high volume in soyb...

energy

Inflation Ramps Up on Energy and Food Away from Home

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, showing that it rose 0.9 percent, seasonally adjusted, month over month, after being up 0.3 percent in February, and rose 3.3 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted.  Energy was the...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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