World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Suggests CBOT Has Made its Near-Term Lows

The CBOT saw technical trade emerge and dominate the day, which sent corn, wheat, and soybeans higher after a weak overnight start. The day’s strength was sufficient to score bullish reversals on the corn and wheat charts, which indicates near-term lows are likely for these commodities. There is also some potential for Monday’s contract lows to be seasonal lows, but WPI’s experience is that “big crop” years tend to find seasonal lows a little later in September or early October. Funds were on the buy-side of the market Tuesday and continued to cover shorts in the grains complex and, to a lesser extent, oilseeds and products as well. There were also rumors about fresh long buying and bottom-picking from the spec...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 13.1 percent week over week, reaching 73 percent of total area, with yields remaining above average and above earlier expectations. As a result, the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange raised its production estimate to 27.1 MMT, broadly in line with the Rosario Board of Trade&rsq...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry-bulk freight markets are mixed this week with pre-holiday trade driving diverging trends. The Capesize sector saw some strength, primarily in the Atlantic, with demand for Brazilian loadings driving the market.  Panamax and Supramax markets, in contrast, saw weaker pricing as ballaster...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 13.1 percent week over week, reaching 73 percent of total area, with yields remaining above average and above earlier expectations. As a result, the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange raised its production estimate to 27.1 MMT, broadly in line with the Rosario Board of Trade&rsq...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry-bulk freight markets are mixed this week with pre-holiday trade driving diverging trends. The Capesize sector saw some strength, primarily in the Atlantic, with demand for Brazilian loadings driving the market.  Panamax and Supramax markets, in contrast, saw weaker pricing as ballaster...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volume Gives Way as Bearish Slide Moderates

There was lower volume in the grain pits today, with perhaps some stronger interest in the last few days of holiday shopping. Traders were not buying corn or soybeans for their loved ones today, but maybe a wee bit of HRS, which closed up today and uniquely was higher for the week. There were...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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