World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Short Covering Finally Breaks; Corn, Soybeans Position for Potential Bullish WASDE

The CBOT traded a mixed day with wheat once again the market’s focus. Wheat futures opened sharply lower as the short-covering rally ended and the market was freed to trade as much as $1.30 either side of yesterday’s close. The end of the short-covering panic allowed wheat futures to correct sharply lower overnight and during the day session, but the bullish influence of the Ukraine war remains clear as May CBOT wheat ended just 7½ cents lower.  Most of the trade was focused either on the wheat market or on positioning for tomorrow’s March WASDE. Funds sold as much as 18,000 contracts of wheat while buying 10,000 contracts of corn and 8,000 contracts of soybeans. Managed money traders were also net buyers of 6...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 5 May)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.555/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.36/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4125/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293/short ton, down $2.5 fr...

Dollar Exchange Rate Impacts on Trade

President Trump is using tariffs to rectify what he asserts is the unfair practices by other countries. He also accuses trading partners of currency manipulation. He is correct that currency exchange rates impact the competitiveness of U.S. exports. USDA’s Economic Research Service mainta...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 5 May)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.555/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.36/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4125/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293/short ton, down $2.5 fr...

Dollar Exchange Rate Impacts on Trade

President Trump is using tariffs to rectify what he asserts is the unfair practices by other countries. He also accuses trading partners of currency manipulation. He is correct that currency exchange rates impact the competitiveness of U.S. exports. USDA’s Economic Research Service mainta...

Recession Watch

Real GDP dipped at a -0.3 percent annual rate in Q1, the first decline for any quarter since 2022. However, the main reason was that trade with other countries accounted for the largest drag on the economy for any quarter since at least 1947, as both consumers and companies loaded up on goods f...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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