World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Trading during the overnight session was quiet with moderate volume ahead of this morning’s WASDE with its projections for 2018/19. Prices were generally firmer with soybeans up 4-5 cents while corn and wheat futures posted smaller gains. During the day session, the market did very little ahead of the report. Following its release at noon (EDT), soybean futures prices quickly jumped 12-15 cents higher as traders and, we assume, computers were impressed by the 20 million bushel cut in estimated U.S. old crop soybean stocks and projected 2018/19 ending soybean stocks of only 415 million bushels. The latter were over 100 million bushels below where many in the trade thought that number would be.  Trade analysts were thinking in ter...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.47/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.155/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5325/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $301.9/short ton, up $0.8 from y...

livestock

Beef Market Recap and Outlook

On 21 November, Tyson Foods, one of the largest beef packing companies in the United States, announced it will close its cattle slaughter facility in Lexington, Nebraska, and reduce its beef operations in Amarillo, Texas, down to a single, full-capacity shift. Based on estimated slaughter at bo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.47/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.155/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5325/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $301.9/short ton, up $0.8 from y...

livestock

Beef Market Recap and Outlook

On 21 November, Tyson Foods, one of the largest beef packing companies in the United States, announced it will close its cattle slaughter facility in Lexington, Nebraska, and reduce its beef operations in Amarillo, Texas, down to a single, full-capacity shift. Based on estimated slaughter at bo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 13.1 percent week-over-week, reaching 73 percent of total area, with yields remaining above average and above earlier expectations. As a result, the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange raised its production estimate to 27.1 MMT, broadly in line with the Rosario Board of Trade&rsq...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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