Wheat Wheat prices in the local market continue to rise. The fear of drought and a tight supply/demand balance are causing daily increases. Since the beginning of September, prices have risen about $70/MT in the futures market. Rains that fell last week, although always helpful, were insufficient and in some cases too late. The market expects a maximum of 16.5 MMT to be produced this year if everything goes well from now forward, but forecasts are not optimistic, and that number may fall. There are talks that some 500,000 ha are at high risk of total loss in the Nucleus region. Exporters have export declarations for about 8.8 MMT and purchases in the local market of 5.5 MMT. Since then, farmers have stopped selling and prices started to r...
Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2026 The new marketing season has officially begun in Russia, although bearish sentiment has been concentrated in the southern regions closest to the Black Sea ports, where export demand has been weakest. Delays in grain deliveries to inland elevators have...
What You Need to Know Today: The hot, dry weather forecast continues to drive strength in grain futures with corn and soybeans hitting another day of strong gains. Monday’s Crop Progress and Conditions data were in line with market expectations and showed relatively few concerns for the...
Yesterday we wrote about the Q1 GDP numbers and the June employment reports in an article entitled Real GDP for Q1 Relying on AI Buildout, Held Back by Consumer Spending. That article mentioned that consumer spending had become a drag on GDP. Nonetheless, real GDP in Q1 was revised upward to 2...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.