World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 4.9 percent week over week, reaching 16.5 percent of the suitable area. The national average yield continued to rise as combines moved through the core production zones, now at 2.6 MT/ha. In the highest-productivity regions, cutting was still limited, but early tests pointed out encouraging results. Most of the crop has already moved beyond the critical yield-definition stage. The effect of recent frosts will become clearer once more fields are harvested, although flooding in Buenos Aires province appears more likely to slow fieldwork and increase disease pressure than materially reduce yields. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange raised its production estimate to 24 MMT, up 2 MMT from the prior forecast, while the Rosario...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.4425/bushel, up $0.17 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5725/bushel, up $0.3275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $330.8/short ton, up $8.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Milling Wheat  European wheat markets remain under pressure amid heavy global supplies and as aggressive Black Sea and Argentine offers cap any rallies. Too, the firmer euro has further eroded EU export competitiveness just as FOB offers from Argentina near $209–211/MT for 11.5 perce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.4425/bushel, up $0.17 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5725/bushel, up $0.3275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $330.8/short ton, up $8.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Milling Wheat  European wheat markets remain under pressure amid heavy global supplies and as aggressive Black Sea and Argentine offers cap any rallies. Too, the firmer euro has further eroded EU export competitiveness just as FOB offers from Argentina near $209–211/MT for 11.5 perce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing delays in releasing the backlogged CFTC data, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and o...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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