World Perspectives
livestock

North American Live Animal Trade

USDA released monthly trade data today, including live animal trade in North America. Feeder calves from Mexico through May, at 372,342 head are down 31 percent; feeder calves from Canada at 119,071 head are up more than 200 percent.

Feed shortages, drought, and rail problems transporting feed have impacted the Canadian shipments to the U.S.  For Mexican feeders, the five-year 2016-2020 average has been about 548,538 head for the January through May period; last year imports were down slightly from that average, but this year have dropped more than 40 percent.  There are likely a few things going on affecting imports of Mexican feeder calves. Typically, more than a third of those cattle imported are 400 pounds or less and go t...

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The CBOT markets were surprisingly insulated from a jump in crude oil that started the week. Crude oil futures rallied to $115/brl - their highest levels since the earliest days of the U.S.-Iran war - on rhetoric from the White House that signaled an escalation in the conflict. While the oil he...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins reversed sharply to -$17/head from $120/head the prior week, as rising fed cattle prices more than offset a modest decline in the Choice cutout. Fed cattle prices increased $12.92/cwt from the prior week while the cutout slipped $3.24/cwt, compressing gross margins and pushi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Long-Run Draws Near

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Farmland Consolidation

Under the theory of economies of scale, the size of farms, like that of all industries, should increase over time due to improvements in productivity. Farmers themselves understand that the more land they farm, the greater their output and, thus, the larger their potential incomes. Government p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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