World Perspectives

Record Plunge in Farm Income

Tyne Morgan of the U.S. Farm Report points out that U.S. farm income is facing its largest drop in value in 2024 and its largest ever two year drop in real value when adding 2023 to the calculus. It is a $90 billion drop in two years and farmers appear to be holding on to their supplies in hopes of surviving the current drop in commodity prices. The House Agriculture Committee held a hearing on 23 July and learned that farmers are running out of the liquidity they had built up during the seven good years of 2015-2022. That raises stress and major suppliers like John Deere are starting to reduce output in recognition that the good times are gone.  Although rural voters already lean toward Republicans, the issue could reverberate in thi...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.8575/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soymeal closed at $295.9/short ton, up $4.4 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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