Before USDA’s November 2020 WASDE was released, the grain trade generally expected a mildly bullish report. But there was nothing mild about the November WASDE. It was flat out bullish, possibly the most bullish November WASDE ever if such comparisons were measurable. USDA’s outlook for corn was sharply altered by the following:

The national average corn yield was lowered 2.6 BPA to 175.8 BPA.

The November production estimate is 14.507 billion bu, a reduction of 216 million bu from October. Estimated U.S. corn exports for 2020/21 were raised by a large 325 million bu to 2.650 billion bu, a new record. Lower production and larger exports resulted in estimated ending stocks of 1.7 billion bu, 465 million bu lower than U...