World Perspectives

Report: Ag Productivity Not on Trend to Meet Needs in 25 Years

A new report out of Virginia Tech University concludes that increasing agricultural productivity is not enough to meet demand for global ag production by 2050.  Specifically, the report says that,  … since 2011, average annual agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) growth has consistently fallen below the target growth rate required to sustainably meet global needs for agricultural outputs by 2050. TFP is simply a measure of the output of crops and animal protein (including aquaculture) using the same or less inputs such as land, labor, capital, fertilizer, feed, and livestock.  According to the report, from 2011–2021, global TFP grew at an average of 1.14 percent annually; to meet the needs of 2050 a rat...

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Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.535/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8375/bushel, up $0.155 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.7925/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $309.3/short ton, down $0.6 f...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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