Milling Wheat The Black Sea market once again remained about unchanged last week. Russia’s domestic prices are reportedly around $3-4/MT higher. It has exported approximately 32.5 MMT so far, which is close to the total at this date last year. The export pace is expected to slow significantly during April, May and June versus the same period a year ago as Russian millers are paying prices that are higher than the export parity. The weather in Ukraine and southern Russia remains generally favorable for winter wheat development. Analysts’ average estimates for the Russian and Ukrainian crops are 80 MMT (against 72 MMT last year) and 26.5 MMT (versus 24.5 MMT last year), respectively. The EU exported 490,000 MT last week, bringin...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.