A great deal of proverbial water has passed under the bridge since WPI wrote about our initial soybean outlook for MY 2019/20 on 14 January Not very much has been good for U.S. soybean or soymeal export demand. There is still no trade deal between the U.S. and China, although most analysts believe one is close. When it will be announced is a different question. That will be all about situational politics and when it is best for the Trump administration to do so. This could possibly occur in June. Soybean demand in China is an even bigger question today than it was two months ago. African swine fever (ASF) continues to expand there, and it will likely spread in Vietnam and other neighboring countries. As much as 20 percent of China’s...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.