World Perspectives

Tariff Adjustment/Musk; Cynical Biden Trade Goals; Biofuel Proposal Disappoints

Tariff Adjustment /MuskRecognizing the inflation threat of sudden and large import tariffs, Donald Trump’s economic team: Scott Bessent (Treasury), Kevin Hassett (National Economic Council), and Stephen Miran (Council of Economic Advisers) are reportedly working on a plan of more gradual 2-5 percent monthly increases in tariff rates until trading partners concede to White House demands for improved trading terms. Separately, China has refuted the story, but it is reported that Elon Musk is considered a possible buyer for TikTok if the court rules it must be sold to continue operating in the U.S. Over half of Tesla’s cars are manufactured in China and Musk supports Beijing’s position on Taiwan. U.S. agriculture may wish to court Musk as...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Good Weather is Bad for Bulls

The CBOT was sharply lower at mid-week with favorable weather for the U.S. 2025 spring crops and weaker global grain markets exacting a heavy toll. Notable among the day’s moves were the new contract lows in corn and soymeal and soybeans’ move back below the prices they traded just...

Ignoring Margins; Trump Tariff Win

Ignoring Margins The U.S. Senate’s Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights held a hearing yesterday on, Reducing Regulatory Burdens to Unlock Innovation and Spur New Entry and the meat packing industry was front and center. UC-Berkely Senior Fellow Doha Mekki co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1025/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.445/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.215 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $276/short ton, down $4.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Good Weather is Bad for Bulls

The CBOT was sharply lower at mid-week with favorable weather for the U.S. 2025 spring crops and weaker global grain markets exacting a heavy toll. Notable among the day’s moves were the new contract lows in corn and soymeal and soybeans’ move back below the prices they traded just...

Ignoring Margins; Trump Tariff Win

Ignoring Margins The U.S. Senate’s Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights held a hearing yesterday on, Reducing Regulatory Burdens to Unlock Innovation and Spur New Entry and the meat packing industry was front and center. UC-Berkely Senior Fellow Doha Mekki co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1025/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.445/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.215 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $276/short ton, down $4.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains, Oil Fall on Risk-off Trade after Middle East Ceasefire

The biggest drive of the CBOT’s Tuesday trade had little to do with grain markets themselves and, rather, was primarily focused on risk and positioning dynamics following the apparent Israel-Iran ceasefire agreement. While both sides have apparently agreed to some sort of ceasefire deal,...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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