World Perspectives
livestock

Tight Supplies, Strong U.S. Demand to Support Cattle Prices Despite Trade War

Anyone following the beef and cattle markets recently has seen the volatility that preceded the recent surge to new contract highs, and the lack of consensus in the industry’s outlook. Now, the outlook is further complicated by the tariffs that will be placed on Mexican feeder cattle imports, Canadian fed cattle imports, and beef imports (from Canada, Australia, and Mexico, in particular), not to mention the likely pending retaliatory measures against U.S. exports. Amid this dynamic (to say the least) backdrop, WPI offers our outlook for the 2025 cattle and beef markets. Briefly, our models anticipate strong domestic beef demand to combine with reduced slaughter and beef production to create a price-supportive environment for producer...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Falling USD, Tariff Pause, and Technical Buying

CBOT futures and ag markets look very different today than they did just one week ago. Last Friday, ag futures were deep in the red with traders exiting positions and engaging in risk-off trade as the outlook for U.S. trade and the global economy seemed far from certain. This week, futures ende...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $299.6/short ton, up $1.7 f...

Budget Reconciliation: A Step Closer to “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed a budget bill by a vote of 216 to 214. The two Republican “no” votes were from Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, neither of which was a surprise. Massie has been a skeptic of the bill all along and Spartz famousl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Falling USD, Tariff Pause, and Technical Buying

CBOT futures and ag markets look very different today than they did just one week ago. Last Friday, ag futures were deep in the red with traders exiting positions and engaging in risk-off trade as the outlook for U.S. trade and the global economy seemed far from certain. This week, futures ende...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $299.6/short ton, up $1.7 f...

Budget Reconciliation: A Step Closer to “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed a budget bill by a vote of 216 to 214. The two Republican “no” votes were from Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, neither of which was a surprise. Massie has been a skeptic of the bill all along and Spartz famousl...

Tariff War Patience; Self-Sufficiency; Reciprocal Treatment

Tariff War Patience The latest Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey of farmers fell 12 points or nearly 8 percent on concerns about the trade war’s impact on export markets. Surveys indicate that the American public expects tariffs to raise their cost of living. They al...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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