World Perspectives

Trade Spat Between China and EU

When President Biden announced higher Section 232 tariffs on a list of Chinese goods (see WPI 14 May) anxieties were raised over possible retaliation (see WPI 10 June). Right now, the EU is on the leading edge of the tariff tit-for-tat. Yesterday, China announced its Ministry of Commerce would begin an anti-dumping (AD) investigation into pork from the EU. The period of investigation is 2023. This comes after the EU placed countervailing duties on Chinese cars of 38 percent.  The outbreak and recovery of ASF in China, along with the impact on pork demand from COVID and post-COVID’s slow recovery has made the market a bit of a roller coaster. In 2022, imports of pork and pork offal fell by 42.8 percent as China rebuilt its hog...

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Market Commentary: Friday’s Ends a Tough Week Except for Soyoil and Dollar

There was a glimmer of hope for bulls on Friday, but it was just a glimmer. Soybeans, meal and HRW closed higher, but the rest of the players fell off the merry-go-round. There was generally lower volume but the trend is clear – there is an over abundance of grain on world markets and U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.255/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3975/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.25/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $319.2/short ton, up $1.6 from...

Parsing Newly Resumed Macro Data

With the longest government shutdown in history now over, the flow of economic data has resumed.  Two key items of market interest are the September employment report and the August’s trade numbers. But they tell an uncertain story. especially when coupled with the Consumer Price Rep...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Friday’s Ends a Tough Week Except for Soyoil and Dollar

There was a glimmer of hope for bulls on Friday, but it was just a glimmer. Soybeans, meal and HRW closed higher, but the rest of the players fell off the merry-go-round. There was generally lower volume but the trend is clear – there is an over abundance of grain on world markets and U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.255/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3975/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.25/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $319.2/short ton, up $1.6 from...

Parsing Newly Resumed Macro Data

With the longest government shutdown in history now over, the flow of economic data has resumed.  Two key items of market interest are the September employment report and the August’s trade numbers. But they tell an uncertain story. especially when coupled with the Consumer Price Rep...

livestock

Despite Futures Pullback, Cow-Calf Profits Hit Records

With November and the fall calf run almost over, the U.S. beef industry now has its first truly solid estimates of the realized profitability of many cow-calf operations. Most operations wean and market calves in the fall, starting in September or early October and running through December, whi...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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