World Perspectives

Trump versus Harris Trade Policy; Africa Shines; Trade and the Environment

Trump versus Harris Trade Policy While trade policy analysts assess the future of their vocation under either a Trump or Harris presidency, there is not a lot of uncertainty. Mr. Trump has already advertised his intentions to raise tariffs. He views the U.S. trade deficit as the barometer of how well America is “treated,” and it has only gotten larger. It is all transactional, using the perceived better trade terms of other countries as leverage to extract concessions. The U.S. business community prefers post-WWII conventional trade policy, but trade is a small share of the economy, and they concede on this smaller policy arena in favor of Mr. Trump’s lower tax and regulatory posture.  The Biden-Harris Administratio...

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May 26 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1275/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.745/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $321.2/short ton, up $0 from...

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Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Weather, Biofuel Demand Prospects

For much of the period since the U.S.–Iran war started, commodity markets have been buoyed by macroeconomic “risk on” buying fueled by the geopolitical risk and crude oil’s rally. Recently, the impact of this risk and crude oil on the ag markets has faded, leaving crop f...

China Market Analysis

Economy The National Bureau of Statistics says China’s GDP grew 5 percent year-over-year in Q1 2026. Other sources contend that the Iran war has helped pull the economy out of deflation and that it is now in the middle stages of a multi-year correction. The data for the agriculture sector...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1275/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.745/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $321.2/short ton, up $0 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Weather, Biofuel Demand Prospects

For much of the period since the U.S.–Iran war started, commodity markets have been buoyed by macroeconomic “risk on” buying fueled by the geopolitical risk and crude oil’s rally. Recently, the impact of this risk and crude oil on the ag markets has faded, leaving crop f...

China Market Analysis

Economy The National Bureau of Statistics says China’s GDP grew 5 percent year-over-year in Q1 2026. Other sources contend that the Iran war has helped pull the economy out of deflation and that it is now in the middle stages of a multi-year correction. The data for the agriculture sector...

Farm Bill Amendments

House Agriculture Committee Chairman Glenn Thompson (R-Pennsylvania) has been working with Republican leadership to build momentum for a farm bill floor vote, likely expected the week of 27 April, but that depends on other must-pass legislative priorities.  The House Rules Committee meets...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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