World Perspectives

U.S. Talk Representative; EUDR Expansion; Hungary Tanks Innovation; Russia Bolsters CAP

U.S. Talk Representative The Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) that grants duty free access to products from poorer countries expired almost four years ago. The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which provides similar nonreciprocal preferential access to the U.S. market but aimed at Sub-Saharan Africa is scheduled to expire in September 2025. There are efforts on Capitol Hill to renew GSP and extend AGOA for another 16-20 years. Those trading under both programs worry about having too many criteria for eligibility and setting the bar on rules of origin too high. However, one complaint is that the Biden Administration is not engaged in either issue. One industry representative suggested that someone needs to put Trade instead...

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Market Commentary: Markets Discount Risk as Grains Quietly Hold Ground

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War Impacts; Taxes and Tariffs

War Impacts May soybeans are now within a penny of their value two weeks ago, and May corn is back up to within half a percent of its price at that time. The S&P closed above 7,000 for the first time, and the Nasdaq hit a record high.  The cost of gasoline is about 15 percent higher th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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May 26 Corn closed at $4.5125/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.67/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $334.4/short ton, up $4.7 from...

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Key Market Developments Macros & Energy:  Outside markets continue to trade in a tug-of-war between escalation and de-escalation — and crude oil is right at the center of it. Overnight, crude pulled back toward $87 as headlines pointed to a potential resumption of peace negotiat...

War Impacts; Taxes and Tariffs

War Impacts May soybeans are now within a penny of their value two weeks ago, and May corn is back up to within half a percent of its price at that time. The S&P closed above 7,000 for the first time, and the Nasdaq hit a record high.  The cost of gasoline is about 15 percent higher th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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May 26 Corn closed at $4.43/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.92/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.58/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $329.7/short ton, down $2.2 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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